Yeditepe University

 Management Application and Research Center

YIRCoF ’11

Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight and Futures

August 24 - 26, 2011, Istanbul

"Theory Building in Foresight and Futures Studies"

 

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Programme

Organization

Programme

 

 

 

Aug 23        Aug 24      Aug 25         Aug 26

Conference Venue

Larespark Taksim

  0830 Registration

 

 

CONFERENCE OPENING SESSION

0855

 Welcome 
 

Plenary Speaker

0900

 Z. Sardar

In Theory: Do We Need A Theoretical Framework for Foresight and Futures Studies

 

 SESSIONS

 

SESSION 01 - Issues in Futures Studies

Chair: Roumiana Gotseva

SESSION 02 - Futures and Foresight

Chair: Helga Veigl

1000

Ontological Aspects Futures Studies

Roberto Poli, Nicolai Hartmann Society, Italy

 Youth as future makers: The trends, the trials and youth’s contribution to the future

Krystina Lamb, Samantha Wilcocks, University of the Sunshine Coast, Australia (via SKYPE)

1030

 Schrödinger’s cat – bringing the future back to life

Roumiana Gotseva, Foresight Alliance, UK

 

 Connecting theoretical and practical interactive foresight: the example of Central Hungarian region

Éva Hideg, Erzsébet Novaky, Helga Veigl, Péter Alacs, Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary

1115

Break 

 

SESSION 03 - Foresight and Strategy

Chair: Per Dannemand Andersen

SESSION 04 - Technology Foresight 1

Chair: Ashok Vaseashta

1135

 

A Strategizing Perspective in Foresight

Per Dannemand Andersen, Birgitte Rasmussen,   Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

 

 Use of Bayesian Networks in Technology Foresight, Risk Assessment, and Horizon Scanning

A. Vaseashta, P. Susmann, E. Braman, Institute for Advanced Sciences Convergence, NUARI; U. Diwekar, Vishwamitra Research Institute; J. Giordano, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies; S. Vaseashta, George Mason University, USA             

1150

 Using Delphi-based scenarios to improve the long-term strategy development process

Bernadette Förster, Tobias Gnatzy, Heiko A. von der Gracht, Inga-Lena Darkow -Center for Futures Studies and Knowledge Management, Germany 

 Developing a holistic backcasting approach for systemic technological transformations towards sustainable mobility

 Martin Zimmermann, Johannes Warth, Heiko von der Gracht, Inga-Lena Darkow - Center for Futures Studies and Knowledge Management, Germany

1215

 

 Mapping Future Needs and Potential Technologies – Case of Biotechology

Y. J. Chen, B. W. Lin, I. C. Chien, Y. Wu, Science& Technology Policy Research and Information Center, NARL, Taiwan

1240

LUNCH

 

SESSION 05 - Foresight and Industry

Chair: Alper Alsan

SESSION 06 - Systemic Foresight

Chair: Özcan Sarıtaş

1400

 From now to future, a technology push perspective on satisfying future demands: cases of biotechnology and energy

Te-Yi Chan, Yi-Ju Chen, Yueh Wu, Science & Technology Policy Research and Information Center, NARL, Taiwan

 Grand Challanges and the need for systems thinking to deal with them

 Denis Loveridge, University of Manchester, UK

1425

 

 Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM)

 Özcan Sarıtaş,  University Manchester, UK

1450

 Technology Forecast 2020 in Taiwan

Hsueh-Liang Wu, National Taiwan University

 Systemic Integration of S&T Foresight Methods

 Jack Smith, University of Ottawa, Canada

1515

Break 

 

SESSION 07 - Scenarios

Chair: Peter Bishop

SESSION 08 - Theory and Practice

Chair: Chih Hung Hsieh

1535

 Linking global to regional scenarios: the AG2020 approach

Anastasia Stratigea, Maria Giaoutzi, National Technical University of Athens

 

1600

 Support for Scenario Statements

Peter Bishop, University of Houston, USA

 Study on Developing the Future Readiness Index Framework: Methodology and Applications

Y. J. Song, D-H. Kim National Information Society Agency, South Korea

1625

 Visioning in backcasting in agriculture: the AG2020 approach

Anastasia Stratigea, Maria Giaoutzi, National Technical University of Athens

The CO2-ReducingTrading Strategy of Petrochemical Firms in China - A Scenario Analysis

Chih Hung Hsieh, Hui-Ching Chen, Yuan Ze University, ROC  

1650

Break 

1700

POSTER SESSION

Complexity, Narrative, Participation, and Images of the Future

Chair: Wendy Schultz (via SKYPE)

 
 

 Design Futurescaping

 Anab Jain, Jon Ardern, Justin Pickard, Superflux

 
 

 Massively Multi-player Futuring: IftF’s Foresight Engine

 Jake Dunagan, Institute for the Future

 
 

 Crowdsourced Collective Intelligence Platforms for Participatory Scenarios and Foresight

 Noah Raford, Global Business Network

 
 

 Scenarios: A Hero’s Journey across Turbulent Systems

Wendy Schultz, Infinite Futures, Richard Lum, Vision Foresight Strategy, Christian Crews, AndSpace Consulting,

 
 

 The Singularity is Boring: An Open, Collaborative ‘Mock-up’

Justin Pickard, Noah Raford, Wendy Schultz, Jake Dunagan, Scott Smith (and uncounted others), The Futures Twitterstream

 

1800

FREE

1930

GALA DINNER

Invited Seaker

Alphan Manas

Honorary President of Futurists Society of Turkey,

Chairman, Brightwell Holdings, Inc., The Netherlands

"The Gap between Theory and Practice - Case of e-Mobility"

2215