Yeditepe University

 Management Application and Research Center

Yeditepe University

Department of Business Administration

YIRCoBL ’11

Yeditepe International Research Conference on Bayesian Learning

June 15 - 17, 2011, Istanbul

"State of Theory and Applications"

Celebrating the 310th Birthyear of Rev. Thomas Bayes

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Programme

Organization
Programme
Registration
 

 

 

 

Conference Venue

 
   

June 14    June 15    June 16   June 17

 

Larespark Taksim

 

     
08:30 Registration  
 

 Openning Session

08:55 Refik Soyer - Welcome  
09:00

Plenary Speaker

 

Nozer Singpurwalla

 

10:00

Break

 

Parallel Sessions 

 

Bayesian Learning for Stochastic Processes

Session Chair: Tim Heaton

Bayesian Non-parametrics

Session Chair: Fabrizio Leisen

10:30

 A class of non-separable spatio-temporal point process models

J. Illian, Univ of St Andrews

 Dependent completely random measures via Poisson line processes

S. A. Wiiliamson, Z. Ghahramani, P. Orbanz, Univ of Cambridge

11:00

 Bayesian non-parametric regression with observations at imprecise times

 T. Heaton, Univ of Sheffield

 Vectors of dependent random probability measures for Bayesian inference

F. Bassetti, Univ of Pavia

11:30

 Assessing the impact of cattle trade on the spatio-temporal spread of Coxiellosis among Swiss cows

B. Schroedle, L. Held, H. Rue, Univ of Zurich

 Conditionally identically distributed sequences and Bayesian nonparametric

F. Leisen, Univ Carlos III de Madrid

12:00

Lunch

 

Bayesian Models for Business Applications

Session Chair: Nalini Ravishanker

Reliability and Survival Analysis

Session Chair: Ehsan Soofi

13:30

 A Semiparametric Approach to Productivity and Efficiency in Salesforce Organizations

S. Voleti, Indian School of Business

 Modelling bugs introduction during software testing

F. Ruggeri, A. Pievatolo, CNR IMATI – R. Soyer, George Wash. Univ

14:00

 Bayesian Models for Multivariate Time Series of Counts, with a Marketing Application

N. Ravishanker, Univ of Connecticut

 Bayesian Semiparametric Modeling for Nonignorably Missing Covariates

Z. Kalaylıoğlu, O. Öztürk, Middle East Technical University

14:30

 Market Basket Analysis using Bayesian Networks

X. Li, Capital One - S. Mazvancheryl, American Univ - S. Prasad, P. Rau, R. Soyer, George Washington Univ

 Information Notions and Measures of Dependence and Predictability

E. S. Soofi, Univ of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

15:00

Break

 

Bayesian Financial Econometrics

Session Chair: Jonathan Stroud

Bayesian Methods in Science

Session Chair: Alex S. Papadopoulos

15:30

 On some properties of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation methods based on the particle filter

M. Pitt, University of Warwick

 Bayes Approach to Hazard  Change Detection with Incomplete Data

D. Yenigün, Bilkent Univ

16:00

 Market Return Volatility Decomposition: A Long Run Approach

M. P. Rios, H. Lopes, Univ of Chicago

 Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the North Anatolia Fault Zone Using the Classical and Bayesian Predictive Distributions

A. S. Papadopoulos, Yeditepe University

16:30

 Another Look at the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle

J. Stroud, B. Henderson, George Washington Univ

 Evaluation of kinship identification systems: some violations to standard assumptions

F. Corradi, F. Ricciardi, Univ of Florence

 

Contributed 1

Contributed 2

17:15

 An application of the Probabilistic Model for Shareholder Value Prediction Using Bayesian Belief Networks

P. Namwongse, Chulalongkorn Univ

 The Effect of Observations on Predictive Discriminant Functions

R. Mohammed, Univ of Surrey

17:35

 Simulation-based Stochastic Programming

T. Ekin, R. Soyer, George Washington Univ - N. Polson, Univ of Chicago

 Bayesian Comparisons for the Effect of Air Pollutants on Hospital Admissions for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

M. A. Cengiz, Y. Terzi, Ondokuz Mayıs Univ

17:55

 Hybrid Bayesian filter algorithm for multivariate time-series modellings on cloud computing systems

H. Nagao, R. Yoshida, T. Higuchi, Inst of Statistical Mathematics 

 Non-trivial sets in compositional models

V. Kratochvil, Inst of Information Theory and Automation

18:15

Determining Gibbs sampling parameters for Bayesian estimation of genetic parameters

S. Alijani, Univ of Tabriz

 

18:35

  FREE

20:00

 Dinner at Larespark - Plenary Speaker

David Bellhouse - The Life and Work of Thomas Bayes

23:00